Android has become the new Windows. (...)
way: Android and iPhone account for about 89 percent of the worldwide market for
smart phones. But Android is outselling iPhone over 5 to 1.
The rest of
the market is basically scraps and is being fought over by dying brands
(Symbian, Blackberry) and Windows Phone, which has scrabbled to 3.9 percent
market share. Thatís just fifth place, meaning that Windows Phone is actually
doing worse than those dying brands, ...
Put another way: Windows Phone
could soon be the third smart phone ecosystem behind Android and iPhone,
assuming Blackberry doesnít rebound. But it will ďachieveĒ this perch simply
because the other competitors in this market are dying. Thatís Ö pretty
pathetic. And whatís the end game for Windows Phone? 10 percent at most?
Android, meanwhile, appears to be
Paul Thurrott is a professional
Windows fan-boy. That is, his career has been based on promoting Windows because
it paid good money. For the past year or so he has been relentlessly promoting
Windows Phone (at least on TWIT's Windows Weekly) and claiming it would succeed
For him to write the above on his own web site should be
a sign that even Windows fan-boys may start to realize that Windows phone is a
failure. He also didn't try to soften the blow by claiming that WP8 was going to
be a big success, or talking up sales of Windows 8 RT tablets. To me, it looks
like Thurrott has taken a long hard look of the future market for professional
Windows fan-boys and has decided that it doesn't look very promising. He appears
to be staking out some room for switching to be an professional Android fan-boy
if that's where the market is.
On the other hand, I won't be surprised
if Thurrott issues a retraction or "clarification" in the next week or so. What
separates the professional fan-boys from the amateurs is making sure that the
company you are a fan-boy of remembers to chuck you a few bones now and again.
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